cashd

Tudor Black Bay

Used resale value · updated Oct 16

$3,500 – $4,350

Typical $3,995▲ 5.1% · 35d

$3,500 lowtypical $3,995$4,350 high
Get your exact price

Snap a photo · free · about 30 seconds

Sep 11Daily median · shaded: low–highOct 16

Middle 50% of 79 used listings on eBay US. Asking prices; sales usually land 10–20% lower.

Which one do you have?

  • Black Bay Fifty-Eight (2018–)39mm, the reference everyone wants; black, navy, bronze, 925 silver, and 18k versions.
  • Black Bay 41 (2016–; 2023 Master Chronometer update)The full-size diver; in-house MT5602 movement from 2016, five-link bracelet on the 2023 update.
  • Black Bay GMT, Chrono, and ProComplicated Black Bays — the Pepsi GMT and the Chrono are the most-traded of these.
  • Black Bay 54 and CeramicThe 37mm heritage-sized diver (2023) and the all-black ceramic model — smaller markets, priced individually.
  • Original ETA Black Bays (2012–2015): 79220R/B/NThe first generation; collectible as the originals, the 2012 burgundy in particular.

What moves the price

  1. 01

    Model within the line — a Fifty-Eight and a Black Bay 41 are priced differently despite similar looks; the GMT and Chrono are their own markets.

  2. 02

    Bracelet vs. strap: Tudor sells most Black Bays on a steel bracelet, a fabric strap, or leather at different prices, and the used price follows the configuration.

  3. 03

    In-house vs. ETA: post-2015 in-house movements are the modern standard; the ETA originals are valued for being first, not for the movement.

  4. 04

    Box and papers (and the warranty card) add a premium, though a smaller one than on Rolex — Tudor's authentication risk is lower.

  5. 05

    Tudor doesn't carry a resale premium over retail — price from used comps, and expect the Fifty-Eight to hold the most.

  6. 06

    Bezel insert and case condition: aluminium inserts on Black Bays scratch, and the polished case sides show wear; unpolished examples are preferred.

Listed now on eBay

The full story

The Black Bay is the line that made Tudor a brand people collect, and it's also the reason 'a Tudor' has no single price: the Black Bay Fifty-Eight (39mm) and the Black Bay 41 are the core divers, but the name also covers the GMT (the Pepsi-bezel one), the Chrono, the Pro (the fixed-bezel GMT), the Black Bay 54, the Bronze and Ceramic versions, and the original 2012–2015 ETA-movement Black Bays that started it all.

On resale, Black Bays follow the Tudor pattern: they sell readily but below retail, because Tudor is easier to buy new than Rolex. The Fifty-Eight holds the largest share of its retail — it's the most wanted reference — and the GMT and Chrono are close behind. The first-generation ETA models (references 79220, in burgundy, blue, and black) have a following as the originals, especially the 2012 burgundy 'Red', and are priced on that history rather than on the newer in-house movements.

Used (eBay listings): the Tudor Black Bay averaged $3,800 on Sep 11 and $3,995 on Oct 16, so prices rose 5.1% over 36 days of tracking. The lowest daily median was $3,625 (Sep 25) and the highest $4,049 (Oct 15).

Show prices by date ↓
DateMedianRange
Sep 11$3,800$3,319–$4,195
Sep 16$3,800$3,212–$4,210
Sep 21$3,795$3,150–$4,297
Sep 26$3,650$3,300–$4,000
Oct 1$3,750$3,400–$4,299
Oct 6$3,823$3,412–$4,395
Oct 11$3,950$3,500–$4,398
Oct 16$3,995$3,500–$4,350

Questions

Which Black Bay holds value best?

The Fifty-Eight — it's the most wanted reference and holds the largest share of its retail on resale, followed by the GMT and the Chrono. The standard Black Bay 41 is plentiful and trades lower relative to retail.

Are the original ETA Black Bays worth more than the in-house ones?

Not in general, but they hold their own — collectors value the 2012–2015 originals as the first Black Bays, and the burgundy 'Red' in particular trades on that history. A Fifty-Eight still sells higher than most ETA models.

Does a Black Bay sell above retail like a Rolex?

No — Tudor is available at retail without waitlists for most models, so used Black Bays sell at a discount. A few limited editions and the bronze models have had brief premiums, but the line as a whole is a value buy used.

Got a Tudor Black Bay?

Snap it and get a price for your exact one.

Get your exact price

Cashd may earn a commission from eBay links on this page. Prices are market data, not an appraisal.